关键词: 预测模型；护理研究；范围综述

Abstract: Objective: To describe the current status, research methods and contents on the establishment of a prediction model by Chinese nursing scholars. Methods: Chinese databases including SinoMed, CNKI, Wanfang Data, VIP were searched. English databases including Embase, PubMed, CINAHL, and Web of Science were searched. The JBI scoping review methods were used to analyze the included articles. Results: A total of 141 articles (29 theses and 112 journal articles) were included and mainly published in the core journals after 2019. Patients were selected as research subjects and whose disease complications and health outcomes were the main focus. The research settings were in single centers (82.3%), and prospective studies accounted for 19.9%. All studies constructed prediction models, but the completion of model evaluation and verification is poor. Conclusion: The studies on the establishment of prediction models by Chinese nursing scholars are in the initial stage. The establishment of prediction model has called high attention from researchers. The number of prediction model has increased dramatically. However, the research methods and model quality are urgently needed to be reinforced. A more scientific, accurate and practical predictive model should be established to help improve quality of clinical nursing.

Key words: prediction model; nursing research; scoping review