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PICC导管/静脉直径比最佳临界值的研究

宋燕伶 何金爱 刘胤佃 李倩玲 邹晓春   

  1. 暨南大学附属第一医院护理部,510632 广州市(宋燕伶,何金爱,刘胤佃,邹晓春);导管门诊(李倩玲)
  • 出版日期:2017-06-25 发布日期:2017-06-25
  • 基金资助:
    广东省科技计划项目(2014A020212218);2016年暨南大学附属第一医院护理科研专项基金(2016403)

Application of ROC curve in optimal cut-off point of PICC catheter/vein diameter ratio

  • Online:2017-06-25 Published:2017-06-25

摘要: 目的:分析PICC置管患者的导管/静脉直径比例(C/V)对产生PICC相关静脉血栓的影响,并探寻C/V的最佳临界值。方法:对2016年2-9月符合研究标准的患者于置管前、后使用SiteRite 5超声行血管评估,测量置管静脉穿刺口处内径,计算C/V,随访一个月评估血栓发生情况并通过彩超进行证实,对不同C/V血栓发生率进行比较;采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线探寻C/V的最佳临界值。结果:共247例患者符合研究标准,98例(39.7%)产生血栓;不同C/V大小血栓发生率不同,差异有统计学意义,χ2=38.242,P<0.001;ROC曲线分析得出34%为C/V最佳临界值(灵敏度=83.7%,特异度=71.8%)。结论:C/V越大血栓发生率越高。建议临床操作中,C/V应≤34%,若静脉直径为(0.29~0.41)cm,建议选择3Fr-PICC,前瞻性预防血栓的产生。

Abstract: Objective: To determine the effect of the PICC catheter/vein diameter (C/V) ratio on incidence of PICC-related venous thrombosis, and identify the optimal cut-off point of the C/V ratio. Methods: Adult patients were recruited between February 2016 and September 2016. Vein diameter at the PICC insertion site was measured using SiteRite 5 Ultrasound, and the vein was assessed by Doppler Ultrasonic examination. Participants were followed up at four weeks to determine if they developed PICC-related venous thrombosis. Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) was used to identify the optimal cut-off point of the C/V ratio. Results:Data were available for 247 patients. 98 patients (39.7%) developed PICC-related venous thrombosis. The differences of incidence of PICC-related venous thrombosis among different C/V ratios were significant (χ2=38.242, P<0.001). ROC curve determined that a 34% C/V ratio was the optimal cut off point (sensitivity=83.7%, specificity=71.8%). Conclusions:It was found that the C/V ratio was negatively related to the incidence of thrombosis. This study suggests that a 34% C/V ratio is the optimal cut off, and a 3Fr-PICC should be chosen if the vein diameter is (0.29~0.41) cm to prospectively prevent PICC-related venous thrombosis.